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Commanders vs. Bears has a curious point spread

Let’s do some math before betting on the Thursday night game. We started showing our work last week.

The Denver Broncos were 3.5-point favorites at the Chicago Bears last week. Any remotely reputable NFL power ranking will have the Bears No. 32 and the Broncos will be No. 31 or close. If you assume 2.5 points for home-field advantage, that means the Broncos would have been favored by about 8.5 points if last week’s game was at Denver. The Bears lost to the Broncos last week, blowing a 28-7 lead.

Now, let’s add the Thursday night variable to the equation.